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InitialsDiceBearhttps://github.com/dicebear/dicebearhttps://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/„Initials” (https://github.com/dicebear/dicebear) by „DiceBear”, licensed under „CC0 1.0” (https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/)T
Posts
14
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320
Joined
3 yr. ago

  • I have yet to see anyone describe why transit through the strait should morally be left unencumbered by Iran and Oman. The strait is only about 35 miles wide but international waters don’t start until 230 statute miles offshore. Does the US not assert authority over waters between Florida and Cuba (110 miles) or Florida and Bahamas (125 miles)?

  • throwing away your old ICE car

    But most people wouldn’t send their old car to the scrap heap, they would sell it on the secondary market to someone else (or a dealer, who would auction it into the secondary market). The old car would then continue to burn gas for likely many more years, until it “falls apart” anyway.

    Stepping back, your old car may be the first in a chain of older (or more falling-apart) vehicles getting traded out, all the way down to one that really does get fully retired, or replacing one that was totaled in a collision. So choosing to keep it deprives someone else of its availability and thereby drives up used prices slightly.

    For any study of this type of net effect, the authors need to pick a boundary for what gets considered. How many secondary market transactions do you study in that replacement chain, and what do those buyers substitute when the original ICE vehicle is not replaced with an EV? How far do you go in the pollution and other supply chain effects of manufacturing a new vehicle? I didn’t read a machine translation of your Swiss link, so I don’t know where the study authors drew the bounds, but I suspect it’s easy to choose and defend framing that supports either conclusion.

    In my personal calculation, I can only see one step down the used chain, wherein my old vehicle would continue to be driven by someone else, so replacing it with an EV wouldn’t make a substantial difference. I love my old car with no surveillance, so I’m in no hurry to switch even though I’ll presumably buy an EV eventually.

    Ultimately this is just one more example that that’s no ethical consumption within capitalism.

  • I’m kinda looking forward to the collapse of the Ai bubble.

    Once upon a time, a lot of telecom bubble startups went under and left behind lots of dark fiber optic cable that others snatched up for far less than the capital cost of construction. But eventually, over subsequent decades, most of it was put into use. I expect these AI data centers will be similar, except a bunch of them are being built in stupid ways like with their own on site electricity generation.

    I’m not that excited about what people will do with all of the super cheap bankruptcy auction surplus (formerly AI) data compute capacity. But at least it will be a novel problem.

  • If LLMs don’t turn into AGI and instead the AI bubble pops, maybe some of the data centers don’t get finished. Even so, many of the rest will likely continue to operate and consume water.

    The US federal government will soon start decreeing how the overdrawn Colorado River will be resolved and things will get very ugly. Western water rights law is an unsustainable construct and all real solutions hurt rich people (even as they also hurt everyone else). Maybe the current administration is waiting until enough of the data centers are built before “solving” the water crisis by prioritizing AI over crops and humans in the name of national security.

    But we’re still living in a bad B movie. If AGI actually works and we get SkyNet in the end, then the water infrastructure in most of those regions is probably plenty for the machines once all of the humans are gone.

  • Autoclanking

  • There’s absolutely a reason for it. No data means no data. That’s way better for destructive big money than alarming data demonstrating a need for action.

  • First off, this was a shitpost that only one person managed to figure out. LLMs are garbage and the whole premise here is fairly ridiculous.

    I agree that he owes us nothing. But I’m sure he owes the money people at Bantam or Random House something. Like actually, contractually, owes them. They will complete it posthumously if needed, using his draft material. It’s incumbent on him to finish it while he still has creative control.

  • Finally lol

  • Funny, that’s very interesting.

    And hey, it looks like AI might wind up a pretty savvy tool for writers wanting to keep track of their own complex plot maps and character webs, too.

    See that’s exactly the kind of housekeeping help that might actually boost GRRM’s personal productivity without compromising his vision. I’ve never had to wrangle thousands of pages of my own narrative but I can imagine it’s inherently really slow.

  • GRRM deserves every insult for being unfocused and putting other work ahead of his task. Sanderson may be the one to finish extending his piles of chapter drafts instead of Claude, but someone is definitely going to pick it up after GRRM posthumously cedes creative control because he can’t be assed to finish it himself.

  • That ending was dreamed up by Weiss and Benioff who were desperate to crap out something, anything, so that they could go make Star Wars movies instead. It’s not the real ending by the real author, and the TV series had already diverged from the books by that point.

  • Vyvanse or Adderall

  • He has claimed to have already written lots of the subsequent material, he just doesn’t like how it’s organized. Having an LLM refine that unpublished material very different than asking it to project all of the storylines itself.

    Given the mountain of unpublished work, if he has a heart attack tomorrow, someone else is going to refine it and publish it posthumously. There’s too much money at stake for that not to happen.

  • Actually I think the problem is that he cares way too much. He has written himself too many sprawling storylines that all need to come back together in a satisfying convergence, which is very difficult. The further he gets in the story, the harder it becomes to continue. He’s also a perfectionist.

    He’s a bit of a jerk for chronic underestimation of what it will take him to finish anything, and possibly for taking on other projects that further delay work on his magnum opus. But I understand procrastinating one important task by throwing yourself into work on different tasks.

  • I know but there are two more left and the penultimate one just might make it.

  • It depends somewhat on how you’re planning to watch it all. If you’re sailing the high seas or watching blurays you already bought years ago, just go until it starts to feel dumb again. But if you are going to pay real money or spend streaming subscription time, don’t watch any of it. Weiss and Benioff did such a bad job in handling the end that the entire series should be considered financially toxic. Not a penny, not a groat.

    A better plan would be to listen to the audiobooks and hope that some residuals will help GRRM focus his ADHD long enough to finish another book while he’s still alive.

  • HFCs include popular refrigerants such as R-134a, which was introduced as a less bad alternative to CFCs such as R-12, but which has also been superseded by even less bad alternatives such as R-1234yf. This has been good for American manufacturing, as it stimulates turnover in durable goods (expensive) rather than just recharging leaking systems with additional refrigerant (cheap):

    Air-conditioning and refrigeration manufacturers had supported the original restrictions, saying less harmful chemicals were available and that a shift toward those alternatives was already underway. The original rule was also seen as a win for American companies like Honeywell and Chemours that produce and sell alternatives to HFCs.

    “American manufacturers did what Congress and the first Trump administration asked them to do: They invested in new equipment, new refrigerants, new production lines and American workers,” said John Hurst, the executive director of the Alliance for Responsible Atmospheric Policy, an industry group. “The administration has now changed course in a way that weakens those investments.”

    So this move is a combination of environmental middle finger and drag on US GDP, hurting sales of domestic manufacturing.

    Allowing Kroger to further limp along their leaking refrigerators will be somewhat meaningful to their bottom line, by delaying capital expenses that they’ve been expecting to incur (and presumably budgeting for). But it’s not going to be meaningful to retail grocery prices.

    Consumers owning old vehicles with bad A/C might benefit from being able to buy more R-134a for a bit longer, but that’s not what’s motivating it, since Trump doesn’t care about the little guy.

  • There are almost certainly several such instances, gobbling up content and feeding it to LLM training, ignoring all deletes.